
You need to know all the weapon and alien stats. Just “being good at tactics” is not enough. You cannot win on the hardest difficulty without overfitting. Remember when you decided to build an extra power generator, which delayed the laser weapon research? That is the real reason, why you lose this fight and not the bad tactics now.Ĩ. With all the luck involved, most often it is not the current situation when you lost the game, but the subtle decision you made a (game) month ago. Now, it is a time to risk - when you have nothing to lose when you have already lost. You can do everything correctly and just get unlucky. However, sometimes you are screwed from the beginning. “First, avoid ruin” - great wisdom from Taleb.Ħ.

You don’t operate in probabilities, you operate in possible outcomes. I have read Taleb’s Antifragility, but only now I am starting to understand what he meant. How likely is it to miss two 90% hit shots in a row? The answer is - it happens every single day.

Once I have an argument in a cafe and end up upset. Things, which allowed you to win easily now lead to disaster. The easier difficulty, the more strategies works. You have to experiment and find things, which work and those, which do not. You cannot win just because you believe in yourself. The full and correct version is “I can do it, let’s find the proper way”. Well, not bullshit, actually, but is only a part of the solution.
